I've been reading a book, and i got to a chapter that really interested me: 2100: the year Mexico challenges the US.
As we all know, North America has been the center of gravity of the international system, specifically the US, because it's power is so overwhelming that no one is in a position to challenge it. The great global war in the twenty-first century will make clear that no European country will emerge to challenge the United States. In addition, whoever controls the Atlantic and Pacific oceans control the global trade, and whoever controls space, will control the world ocean's. The United States controls and will control most of space, ma
king it in control of everything.
Reality however, is more complex: the United States will have a very strong weakness in the future, that it will not have confronted for two hundred years. Well Mexico comes in here. The question of Mexico's relative power to the US will be raised again. Mexico, after two hundred years, will be in a position to challenge the territorial integrity of the United States, and therefore, the balance of North America.
A Mexican challenge will emerge around 2020's, but it will be solved by immigration laws, aggressively encouraging immigration to the US in order to solve America's labor shortages. There will be a massive influx of immigrants, specially from Mexico. But the Mexicans have a positive side : geographically there in the same continent and years after shared territory, and that, coupled with the growing strength of Mexico as a nation, will shift the North America balance of power.
There will be such Mexican population in the US, nowadays around 8 million Mexicans live in the US, imagine 40-50 years later, there will be such population that there will have to be something, like a treaty to occupy part o the US because Americans will migrate and Mexicans will occupy most of the southern US territory.
Surging immigration into the US and the aftereffects of the war will kick off an economic crisis around 2060's. The availability of capital and land will no longer be the same.
As we all know, North America has been the center of gravity of the international system, specifically the US, because it's power is so overwhelming that no one is in a position to challenge it. The great global war in the twenty-first century will make clear that no European country will emerge to challenge the United States. In addition, whoever controls the Atlantic and Pacific oceans control the global trade, and whoever controls space, will control the world ocean's. The United States controls and will control most of space, ma
king it in control of everything.Reality however, is more complex: the United States will have a very strong weakness in the future, that it will not have confronted for two hundred years. Well Mexico comes in here. The question of Mexico's relative power to the US will be raised again. Mexico, after two hundred years, will be in a position to challenge the territorial integrity of the United States, and therefore, the balance of North America.
A Mexican challenge will emerge around 2020's, but it will be solved by immigration laws, aggressively encouraging immigration to the US in order to solve America's labor shortages. There will be a massive influx of immigrants, specially from Mexico. But the Mexicans have a positive side : geographically there in the same continent and years after shared territory, and that, coupled with the growing strength of Mexico as a nation, will shift the North America balance of power.
There will be such Mexican population in the US, nowadays around 8 million Mexicans live in the US, imagine 40-50 years later, there will be such population that there will have to be something, like a treaty to occupy part o the US because Americans will migrate and Mexicans will occupy most of the southern US territory.
Surging immigration into the US and the aftereffects of the war will kick off an economic crisis around 2060's. The availability of capital and land will no longer be the same.
